In this scenario, power focuses on higher technologies and urban areas. The company's activities are highlighted by responsible capitalism and take on the role as global climate actors.
The size of large corporations is radically increasing. The sector and industry cross-border giants, new platform economy monopolies. The role of the giant corporations in decision-making is increasing as the role of the nation states loses its significance.
The giant corporations take over many tasks that have belonged for excemple to municipalities. The giant corporations own and administer their own cities, which provide workers and the community with services for education and health care for housing. People are strongly identified through their employer. Regions and populations are polarised to giant's members and groups.
Technology development and innovation are held by large corporations. We see the mergers and the rapid development of big business, for example in the storage of energy. Energy bursts are accelerating and society is electrifies at a pace.
Scenario
timeline
The ownership of Finnish companies gradually shifts to major foreign investors and corporations. Small companies and startups are quickly bought out, which affects Finland's business and innovation policy.
The public sector's problems providing services to Finland's aging population increases the demand for interventions by private companies. The role of the public administration as a service provider declines when giant corporations bring their own healthcare and education systems with them. Independent academic research declines.
POLITICAL CLIMATE
The Finnish Parliament turns into a pseudo-institution, as multinational giants engage in self-regulation and introduce their own operating methods and regulation, ignoring state borders. Finland gives the green light to radical tax cuts to attract giant corporations to operate in Finland. Income gaps and productivity increase. Many benefit from the services provided by giant corporations, others are dissatisfied and cynical. Moreover, many Finns doubt their ability to influence matters, at least through politics.
REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT
Giant corporations gradually introduce their legislation, regulations and standards into the network of subcontractors. As a result, the regulations with the greatest impact on the Finnish business sector come from outside the realm of democratic decision-making.
LABOR MARKET
The labor market has become polarized, and Finns face increasingly tough competition in the job market. The work communities of giant corporations are global. AI translation has broken down language barriers. One's employer is more important than one's profession in the job market, and the unionization of workforce is also organization based.
INTEREST GROUPS
The influence of the traditional labor market parties declines and there is a shift towards international unions divided according to giant corporations.
The status of lobbies changes, as the field becomes more international, the ownership of Finnish businesses moves abroad, and heavy consolidation affects many sectors.
NATURAL RESOURCES
Energy-technology innovations offer an opportunity to Finland. The battery industry cluster is thriving, and the recycling and seabed extraction of battery minerals are growing fields of business.
CAPITAL
Giant corporations also finance Finnish companies and ultimately many promising companies merge with giants. This is a great challenge to the government's innovation funding. There is a need for financing instruments suited to a model in which startups and small companies are quickly bought up.
COMPETENCE
In the job market, increasingly unscrupulous methods are used to attract highly competent professionals. The availability of a competent workforce is one of the only ways that Finland can attract large corporations to the country. Meanwhile, Finland faces challenges from the brain drain resulting from the global job market, further enhanced by the education provided by large corporations.
The assessment and reorganization of the education and research system becomes a topical issue.
Implications for
key industries
The technology giants invest significant amounts of money in renewable energy, the bioeconomy and the circular economy. Methods for Carbon capture and storage and the reuse of carbon as material develop and become more common. Protein starts to be produced from thin air with the help of inexpensive energy, especially in sunny regions.
Raw material ownership lies with large corporations and power with large investors. The data of large corporations are used to optimize the circular economy.
Big industry as well as smaller operators and communities have local raw material cycles.
Companies have a strong interest in protecting the soil and groundwater. Cultivation solutions that conserve water and the soil quickly become dominant in the field.
The share of renewable energy grows quickly to meet the needs of large global corporations. Traditional energy companies experience difficulties as major corporations expand their operations into energy production. Small energy companies go bankrupt or get bought out. Energy storage solutions develop extremely fast due to strong demand.
Corporation-led voluntary environmental regulation expands as pressure from consumers and financing providers increases.
Society's infrastructure, such as energy networks, groundwater reserves, water distribution and roads end up in the ownership of large corporations. Access to basic commodities outside the areas controlled by corporations becomes significantly more difficult, and the price of water increases.
There is a growing demand for clean industry solutions. Individual solutions spread rapidly into global use through the value chains of large corporations. The funding of innovation is dependent on the development programs of large corporations.
Giant corporations increasingly shift to the health business. Giant corporations develop their own health services, acquire companies in the health and wellness sector and establish their own hospitals.
Drone deliveries of products such as medicines, blood samples and tissue becomes increasingly common both in cities and in rural areas. This promotes the availability of medicines in remote areas, for example.
Large corporations provide healthcare and education services. They also obtain high-quality data in connection with producing services. Thanks to data, large corporations can engage in preventive activities of unparalleled effectiveness. This also ensures the high functional capacity of their customers and employees.
The capital-intensive nature of pharmaceutical development favors large corporations. This is particularly evident in the field of gene therapy, which develops rapidly thanks to the capital invested by large corporations.
Consumer demands regarding sustainability and corporate responsibility increase. Self-regulation by technology companies restores consumer trust. Large technology companies create open platforms and global standards.
Consumption models change as everything happens in hubs controlled by large corporations. Technology companies expand their service to many fields and the boundaries between industries and sectors disappear. Most services can be acquired from the same provider, which makes life more convenient for many people but, at the same time, monopolization restricts the number of available alternatives.
Climate-friendly consumption becomes easy and effortless as consumers can trust that the services provided by giant corporations are climate-friendly.
Tencent strengthens its position in the travel business in China and in travel destinations favored by Chinese people
With all industries going digital tech giants have comparative advantage to operate in most industries.
Technology giants that develop into powerful conglomerates provide their customers with nearly all the services they need. This leads to people being divided into groups of members of different technology giants.
The giants continue to make major investments in individual cities, and cities subsequently "specialize" according to technology giants. People begin to identify as Google and Amazon people for example.
Technological development and data are controlled by the giants. Small companies and application providers are quickly bought out.
People's interest in self-tracking and analysis grows and attitudes towards new technologies are favorable. Even transhumanistic biohacking and self-improvement through technology is an emerging trend.